New Forest West | ProjectParly

Election history

CON Desmond Swayne Hold

2024-07-04

Majority 5,600 Turnout 67.5% Votes 46,337

Candidate	Party	Count	Share	Swing
✓ Desmond Swayne	CON	16,412	35.4%	-28.4pp
Sally Johnston	LAB	10,812	23.3%	+10.2pp
Jack Davies	LD	8,186	17.7%	+2.3pp
Reginald Chester-Sterne	REF	7,577	16.4%	—
Anna Collar	GRN	2,800	6.0%	-1.7pp
Gavin Ridley		393	0.9%	—
Paul Simon	SOC	157	0.3%	—

Candidate	Party	Count	Share	Swing
✓ Desmond Swayne	CON	32,113	63.8%	-3.0pp
Jack Davies	LD	7,710	15.3%	+5.7pp
Jo Graham	LAB	6,595	13.1%	-6.5pp
Nick Bubb	GRN	3,888	7.7%	+4.8pp

Candidate	Party	Count	Share	Swing
✓ Desmond Swayne	CON	33,170	66.8%	+6.9pp
Jo Graham	LAB	9,739	19.6%	+8.8pp
Terry Scriven	LD	4,781	9.6%	+2.7pp
Janet Richards	GRN	1,454	2.9%	-2.9pp
Des Hjerling		483	1.0%	—

Candidate	Party	Count	Share	Swing
✓ Desmond Swayne	CON	28,420	60.0%	+1.1pp
Paul Bailey		7,816	16.5%	+10.6pp
Lena Samuels	LAB	5,133	10.8%	+1.0pp
Imogen Shepherd-DuBey	LD	3,293	7.0%	-16.4pp
Janet Richards	GRN	2,748	5.8%	+3.6pp

Candidate	Party	Count	Share	Swing
✓ Desmond Swayne	CON	27,980	58.8%	+2.9pp
Mike Plummer	LD	11,084	23.3%	+4.1pp
Janice Hurne	LAB	4,666	9.8%	-6.7pp
Martin Lyon		2,783	5.9%	+1.7pp
Janet Richards	GRN	1,059	2.2%	-1.9pp

Demographics

Changes shown vs 2001 Census

📊 Age

65 and over

34.6%

50 to 64

22.0%

0 to 17

15.5%

35 to 49

14.5%

25 to 34

8.1%

18 to 24

5.2%

🌍 Ethnicity

White

96.9%

Other ethnic group

1.6%

Asian or Asian British

1.3%

Mixed or Multiple ethnic groups

1.2%

Black, African, Caribbean or Black British

0.3%

📊 Age

65 and over

33.3%

18 to 24

5.4%

⛪ Religion

Christian

54.0%

No religion

37.8%

Not answered

6.6%

Other religion

1.1%

Muslim

0.4%

Buddhist

0.3%

Jewish

0.2%

Hindu

0.1%

Sikh

0.0%

🎓 Education

Level 4 qualifications or above

32.8%

Level 3 qualifications

16.7%

No qualifications

16.3%

Level 2 qualifications

14.5%

Level 1 and entry level qualifications

9.8%

Apprenticeship

6.8%

Other qualifications

3.1%

🏠 Housing

Owner-occupiers

74.9%

Private renters

15.1%

Social renters

9.9%

Rent free

0.1%

🌍 Ethnicity

White

97.8%

Asian or Asian British

1.0%

Mixed or Multiple ethnic groups

0.9%

Black, African, Caribbean or Black British

0.2%

Other ethnic group

0.2%

📊 Age

65 and over

29.4%

45 to 64

28.6%

Under 18

17.4%

30 to 44

14.9%

18 to 29

9.6%

⛪ Religion

Christian

67.1%

No religion

23.7%

Not answered

8.0%

Other religion

0.5%

Buddhist

0.3%

Muslim

0.2%

Jewish

0.2%

Hindu

0.1%

Sikh

0.0%

🎓 Education

Level 4 qualifications or above

28.8%

No qualifications

22.1%

Level 2 qualifications

16.3%

Level 1 and entry level qualifications

12.5%

Level 3 qualifications

11.2%

Apprenticeship

4.8%

Other qualifications

4.3%

🏠 Housing

Owner-occupiers

75.5%

Private renters

12.8%

Social renters

10.2%

Rent free

1.4%

🌍 Ethnicity

White

99.0%

Mixed or Multiple ethnic groups

0.4%

Other ethnic group

0.3%

Asian or Asian British

0.2%

Black, African, Caribbean or Black British

0.1%

⛪ Religion

Christian

79.2%

No religion

13.1%

Not answered

6.9%

Other religion

0.3%

Muslim

0.2%

Jewish

0.1%

Buddhist

0.1%

Hindu

0.0%

Sikh

0.0%

🎓 Education

No qualifications

26.1%

Level 2 qualifications

21.9%

Level 4 qualifications or above

20.0%

Level 1 and entry level qualifications

16.4%

Other qualifications

7.9%

Level 3 qualifications

7.7%

🏠 Housing

Owner-occupiers

80.9%

Social renters

9.5%

Private renters

7.8%

Rent free

2.3%

Demographic change (2001–2021)

Measured change only. No assumptions or interpretation.

🌍 Ethnicity

Group	2001 %	2011 %	2021 %	01→11	11→21	01→21
Other ethnic group	0.3%	0.2%	1.6%	-0.1pp	+1.4pp	+1.3pp
Asian or Asian British	0.2%	1.0%	1.3%	+0.8pp	+0.3pp	+1.1pp
Black, African, Caribbean or Black British	0.1%	0.2%	0.3%	+0.1pp	+0.1pp	+0.2pp
Mixed or Multiple ethnic groups	0.4%	0.9%	1.2%	+0.5pp	+0.3pp	+0.8pp
White	99.0%	97.8%	96.9%	-1.2pp	-0.9pp	-2.1pp

⛪ Religion

Group	2001 %	2011 %	2021 %	01→11	11→21	01→21
Buddhist	0.1%	0.3%	0.3%	+0.1pp	+0.1pp	+0.2pp
Christian	79.2%	67.1%	54.0%	-12.2pp	-13.0pp	-25.2pp
Hindu	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0pp	0.0pp	+0.1pp
Jewish	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.0pp	0.0pp	0.0pp
Muslim	0.2%	0.2%	0.4%	0.0pp	+0.2pp	+0.2pp
Sikh	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0pp	0.0pp	0.0pp
No religion	13.1%	23.7%	37.8%	+10.7pp	+14.1pp	+24.8pp
Other religion	0.3%	0.5%	1.1%	+0.2pp	+0.6pp	+0.8pp
Not answered	6.9%	8.0%	6.6%	+1.0pp	-1.4pp	-0.4pp

🎓 Education

Group	2001 %	2011 %	2021 %	01→11	11→21	01→21
Apprenticeship	—	4.8%	6.8%	—	+2.0pp	—
Level 4 qualifications or above	20.0%	28.8%	32.8%	+8.7pp	+4.0pp	+12.8pp
Level 1 and entry level qualifications	16.4%	12.5%	9.8%	-3.9pp	-2.6pp	-6.5pp
Level 2 qualifications	21.9%	16.3%	14.5%	-5.6pp	-1.8pp	-7.4pp
Level 3 qualifications	7.7%	11.2%	16.7%	+3.5pp	+5.5pp	+9.0pp
No qualifications	26.1%	22.1%	16.3%	-4.0pp	-5.9pp	-9.8pp
Other qualifications	7.9%	4.3%	3.1%	-3.7pp	-1.2pp	-4.9pp

🏠 Housing

Group	2001 %	2011 %	2021 %	01→11	11→21	01→21
Owner-occupiers	80.9%	75.5%	74.9%	-5.5pp	-0.5pp	-6.0pp
Private renters	7.8%	12.8%	15.1%	+5.1pp	+2.3pp	+7.3pp
Rent free	2.3%	1.4%	0.1%	-0.8pp	-1.4pp	-2.2pp
Social renters	9.5%	10.2%	9.9%	+0.8pp	-0.4pp	+0.4pp

Previous MPs

0

No historic membership records available.