Carmarthen East and Dinefwr

Earnings

Median gross annual earnings (residence-based).

£19,108

2011

£24,035

2021

+£4,927

£ change

+25.8%

% change

Real-terms comparison

2011 at 2021 prices: £24,592 Real change: −£557

Election history

PC Jonathan Edwards Hold

2019-12-12

Majority 1,809 Turnout 71.4% Votes 41,002

Candidate	Party	Count	Share	Swing
✓ Jonathan Edwards		15,939	38.9%	-0.4pp
Havard Hughes	CON	14,130	34.5%	+8.2pp
Maria Carroll	LAB	8,622	21.0%	-8.8pp
Pete Prosser		2,311	5.6%	—

Candidate	Party	Count	Share	Swing
✓ Jonathan Edwards		16,127	39.3%	+0.9pp
David Darkin	LAB	12,219	29.8%	+5.6pp
Havard Hughes	CON	10,778	26.3%	+5.1pp
Neil Hamilton		985	2.4%	-8.7pp
Lesley Prosser	LD	920	2.2%	-0.1pp

Candidate	Party	Count	Share	Swing
✓ Jonathan Edwards		15,140	38.4%	+2.8pp
Calum Higgins	LAB	9,541	24.2%	-2.3pp
Matthew Paul	CON	8,336	21.2%	-1.2pp
Norma Woodward		4,363	11.1%	+7.7pp
Ben Rice	GRN	1,091	2.8%	—
Sara Lloyd Williams	LD	928	2.4%	-9.8pp

Candidate	Party	Count	Share	Swing
✓ Jonathan Edwards		13,546	35.6%	-10.2pp
Christine Gwyther	LAB	10,065	26.5%	-1.8pp
Andrew Morgan	CON	8,506	22.4%	+8.7pp
Bill Powell	LD	4,609	12.1%	+2.4pp
John Atkinson		1,285	3.4%	+1.7pp

Demographics

Changes shown vs 2001 Census

🌍 Ethnicity

White

98.6% ▼0.6pp

Asian or Asian British

0.6% ▲0.4pp

Mixed or Multiple ethnic groups

0.5% ▲0.2pp

Black, African, Caribbean or Black British

0.1% ▲0.1pp

Other ethnic group

0.1% ▲0.0pp

📊 Age

45 to 64

29.6%

65 and over

22.4%

Under 18

19.9%

30 to 44

16.4%

18 to 29

11.7%

⛪ Religion

Christian

62.5% ▼12.5pp

No religion

27.7% ▲11.9pp

Not answered

8.5% ▲0.2pp

Other religion

0.6% ▲0.2pp

Muslim

0.2% ▲0.1pp

Buddhist

0.2% ▲0.0pp

Hindu

0.2% ▲0.0pp

Jewish

0.0% ▲0.0pp

Sikh

0.0% ▲0.0pp

🎓 Education

No qualifications

26.2% ▼7.4pp

Level 4 qualifications or above

25.9% ▲7.5pp

Level 2 qualifications

16.4% ▼4.4pp

Level 1 and entry level qualifications

12.5% ▼1.8pp

Level 3 qualifications

10.8% ▲5.1pp

Other qualifications

4.2% ▼3.0pp

Apprenticeship

4.0%

🏠 Housing

Owner-occupiers

75.1% ▲0.6pp

Social renters

12.8% ▼2.4pp

Private renters

10.3% ▲1.9pp

Rent free

1.7% ▼0.3pp

🌍 Ethnicity

White

99.3%

Mixed or Multiple ethnic groups

0.3%

Asian or Asian British

0.2%

Other ethnic group

0.1%

Black, African, Caribbean or Black British

0.1%

⛪ Religion

Christian

75.0%

No religion

15.8%

Not answered

8.3%

Other religion

0.4%

Buddhist

0.2%

Muslim

0.1%

Hindu

0.1%

Jewish

0.0%

Sikh

0.0%

🎓 Education

No qualifications

33.6%

Level 2 qualifications

20.7%

Level 4 qualifications or above

18.4%

Level 1 and entry level qualifications

14.3%

Other qualifications

7.3%

Level 3 qualifications

5.7%

🏠 Housing

Owner-occupiers

74.5%

Social renters

15.2%

Private renters

8.4%

Rent free

2.0%

Demographic change (2001–2021)

Measured change only. No assumptions or interpretation.

🌍 Ethnicity

Group	2001 %	2011 %	2021 %	01→11	11→21	01→21
Other ethnic group	0.1%	0.1%	—	0.0pp	—	—
Asian or Asian British	0.2%	0.6%	—	+0.4pp	—	—
Black, African, Caribbean or Black British	0.1%	0.1%	—	+0.1pp	—	—
Mixed or Multiple ethnic groups	0.3%	0.5%	—	+0.2pp	—	—
White	99.3%	98.6%	—	-0.6pp	—	—

⛪ Religion

Group	2001 %	2011 %	2021 %	01→11	11→21	01→21
Buddhist	0.2%	0.2%	—	0.0pp	—	—
Christian	75.0%	62.5%	—	-12.5pp	—	—
Hindu	0.1%	0.2%	—	0.0pp	—	—
Jewish	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.0pp	—	—
Muslim	0.1%	0.2%	—	+0.1pp	—	—
Sikh	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.0pp	—	—
No religion	15.8%	27.7%	—	+11.9pp	—	—
Other religion	0.4%	0.6%	—	+0.2pp	—	—
Not answered	8.3%	8.5%	—	+0.2pp	—	—

🎓 Education

Group	2001 %	2011 %	2021 %	01→11	11→21	01→21
Apprenticeship	—	4.0%	—	—	—	—
Level 4 qualifications or above	18.4%	25.9%	—	+7.5pp	—	—
Level 1 and entry level qualifications	14.3%	12.5%	—	-1.8pp	—	—
Level 2 qualifications	20.7%	16.4%	—	-4.4pp	—	—
Level 3 qualifications	5.7%	10.8%	—	+5.1pp	—	—
No qualifications	33.6%	26.2%	—	-7.4pp	—	—
Other qualifications	7.3%	4.2%	—	-3.0pp	—	—

🏠 Housing

Group	2001 %	2011 %	2021 %	01→11	11→21	01→21
Owner-occupiers	74.5%	75.1%	—	+0.6pp	—	—
Private renters	8.4%	10.3%	—	+1.9pp	—	—
Rent free	2.0%	1.7%	—	-0.3pp	—	—
Social renters	15.2%	12.8%	—	-2.4pp	—	—

Previous MPs

3

MP	Party	From	To
Jonathan Edwards	PC	2010-05-06	2024-05-30
Adam Price	PC	2001-06-07	2010-05-06
Dr Alan Williams	LAB	1987-06-11	2001-06-07